Video defending Communist Party rule in China

This video is a pretty clear sign that Xi Jinping’s would establish himself as a sort of “supreme leader” in the tradition of Mao and warlords of past in China, although within a much more modern framework. There is a strong element of equivalence between Xi and Barack Obama and David Cameron. You can debate all you like whether it’s false equivalence – but the intention of the message is crystal clear. It intends to send the message that:

1) Xi is a leader as legitimate as Barack Obama and David Cameron.

2) China, under the Communist Party, is as legitimate as Representative Democracies.

3) The video points out the vast sums of money needed to become president in the US. This should be viewed in comparison to the embarrassing stories of the enrichment of China’s leadership through their privileged positions. The video says in effect: “China isn’t the only corrupt political system.”

4) It’s hilariously vague in describing the challenges a leader like Xi faces on his rise to the top. But it does emphasize the egalitarian backgrounds of future leaders in China – getting in touch with Communist roots here.

5) The final line sums up the basic thrust of the video. After drawing a parallel between China and Western democracies, the video concludes: “As long as the people are satisfied and the country develops and progresses as a result – it’s working.”

6) The appetite for these kinds of videos by China’s leaders, China’s netizens and the outside would will tell us if this kind of video, like the China Dream video, will become a feature of China’s propaganda efforts. If they do, short three minute videos could become a kind of atomized venue for if not winning hearts and minds, legitimizing the Chinese state. And this is where it gets interesting.

7) Right now there are a lot of core economic interests shared between the US and China (trade). But on the margin, China and the US’s interests are diverging. In the US, American policymakers will come under increasing pressure to explain why the US is forced to buy goods from a country that is also confronting the US Navy, or stealing US technology, or trying to embarrass the US diplomatically. In China, the age-old battle for legitimacy by the CPC continues. Richer, more educated Chinese netizens will tire of their role as online lynch mob targeting the excesses of the state, and will begin asking why they can’t have a government that is a reflection of the will of the people.

Figure out what the ideology sits best atop the status quo in China, and I would wager, we will see it emerge as a theme, as a catchphrase, as a meme in videos to come. And then it could crystallize into part of the Chinese position towards themselves and the world.

A word on China’s South China Sea shoal visit

China’s Navy has travelled to the James Shoal, 50km from Malaysia in the South China Sea, the southernmost claim by China in that body of water. China had planted a monument on the shoal in 2010, declaring it Chinese territory. The AP report said it’s 1800km from China.

The four-ship task force is headed next to the Pacific Ocean for deep-sea exercises via the Bashi Channel separating Taiwan and the Philippines, Xinhua said.

This action is against a backdrop of increasing tensions in the region. But the line I find most intriguing is this:

Sailors gathered on the ship’s helicopter deck declared their loyalty to the ruling Communist Party and vowed to “struggle arduously to realize the dream of a powerful nation,” Xinhua said.

Just to put it in context, let’s imagine how strange this would sound if another nation’s Navy did the same thing….e.g. The US Navy travels to a disputed shoal, whereupon arrival, US sailors declared loyalty to the Republican Party.

The oddness of action suggests – and suggests is a key word – that it’s intended to send a message back to China, that the new leadership has the full support and confidence of the PLA Navy. That in turn, shows how unsettled the power of the Communist Party in general and its new leaders are. Otherwise, why drag internal politics 1800ks from the people who it mosts affects? Needing to go international to show loyalty conveys the sense the loyalty may not be so assured.

Closer to China, the week, a Chinese boat fired flares at a Vietnamese fishing boat, setting the cabin ablaze.